Since EntertainmentOdds introduced a points-based system of tv betting recommendations at the start of 2014, the site has made a profit of +488pts to a 1pt level stake

Scarlett Fever

Nov 28, 2018 by

Scarlett Fever

The X Factor semi-final was a peculiar affair. If there was an act that was pimped across the 2 shows, it was Scarlett. And yet, she didn’t manage to rise into the top 2 – which appeared to be the game plan.

Anthony, meanwhile, endured vote dampening tactics and show elimination methodology, seemingly carried out with the intention of getting him into the sing-off on Sunday night. But he overcame the dark arts. We may well discover in the end of series voting stats that it was very tight between Scarlett and Anthony but this looked one of those rare occasions when the show did not achieve its desired outcome.

Brendan and Danny were simultaneously eliminated on the Saturday night, leading to Betfair voiding its 11th elimination market while the majority of bookmakers settled the result as a dead-heat. Credit should go to William Hill who settled both as full winners.

This looked one of those rare occasions when the show did not achieve its desired outcome

I think for all Specials traders it would be preferable if firms kept bets unsettled in such instances until the end of series voting stats are revealed, upon which time the 11th elimination market could be correctly settled.

Dalton’s treatment was another perplexing aspect with Robbie labelling him boring. Not only that but running order did not suggest any favour afforded to him, and his performances were underwhelming. We have also had tabloid stories casting aspersions regarding Dalton’s sexuality, hinting at a relationship with Brendan.

Of course, we have had previous negative treatment for a solo male perceived as favourite, and who went on to win, recalling Cowell’s infamous ‘butterless sandwich’ comment regarding Matt Terry.

Dalton remains a red hot 2-7 favourite to win the final. Without knowing song choices, duets and whatever else lies in store this weekend, the not particularly brave prediction here is, he will win.

We have had previous negative treatment for a solo male perceived as favourite, and who went on to win, recalling Cowell’s infamous ‘butterless sandwich’ comment

The show may well continue to try and deflate Anthony and ramp Scarlett with a view to ensuring Anthony finishes 3rd. Anthony has been generating a pv partly because of the underdog narrative they have built for him. It might be dangerous to have him in a final 2 vs Dalton for that very reason.

If Scarlett had been called straight through to the final on Sunday, she would probably now be trading around 4, and people would be building a strong case for her possibly winning.

Making the jump from likely 3rd place on the pv to top of the pv looks a tough leap but if there is a shock winner, it feels more likely to be Scarlett compared to Anthony given their respective treatments last weekend.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Related Posts

Share This