Azerbaijan Primed For ESC Victory

May 14, 2011 by

It’s the final of the ESC we’ve all been waiting for and here are our concluding thoughts. News from last night’s jury performances suggest Blue did not produce their best which makes us less keen on the UK’s winning chance. We still think a top 10 finish is highly likely though.
Serbia also didn’t perform to their best which makes us cooler on their top 10 and Outright prospects. With Georgia, Austria and Slovenia all putting in excellent performances, we recommend backing all three for a top 10 finish, and also recommend backing all 3 at best prices e/w first 4 on the Outright.
There are so many ESC markets we’ve been trying to pick out some of the stand out value and here are a few to catch our eye:
On head-to-head betting, we like Moldova to beat Romania at 6-5, Georgia to beat Russia at 6-5, and UK to beat Ireland at 5-6, all with Coral, and available as a multiple if you’re feeling brave.
Ireland’s finishing position, also with Coral – we recommend backing 11th to 15th at 4-1, 16th to 20th at 16-1 and 21st to 24th at 33-1, and scaling bets for an even profit on all 3.
We can reveal the results of our ESC poll have thrown up a clear top 7 and if correct would see Sweden win, UK finish 2nd, Bosnia 3rd, France 4th, Estonia 5th, Azerbaijan 6th and Hungary 7th.
We think Lithuania are the most likely nation to finish last, available at a best price of 15-8 with bet365 and Victor Chandler.
But the nation we think are the most likely winner of this year’s ESC is Azerbaijan.
Good luck with all your ESC punting, and please feel free to add your comments below on the value bets today as you see them.
Rob Furber

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