Strictly Confidential

Aug 19, 2019 by Rob

The Strictly/X Factor/SPOTY 2019 subscription is now officially open. The price remains £40. You can find a link at the bottom of this post.

Last year, Stacey Dooley was advised to subscribers pre-lives at 10-1, and in the last 5 years this autumn tv betting subscription encompassing Strictly/X Factor/SPOTY has yielded an average profit of +45pts per year.

In terms of Strictly, it will be the usual format of a pre-lives analysis once the 2019 pairings are revealed, and then trying to find the weekly elimination value, with an ‘in-running’ email update on the Saturday evening immediately following the show.

The Strictly analysis provided extends beyond the bottom line of profit/loss shown at the end of the season run, with trading advice offered throughout helping shape Betfair positions.

New female pro dancer Nancy Xu has been added to this year’s Strictly roster which means we have 9 male and 9 female pro dancers, with Pasha Kovalev having departed the show. In a break from the norm, we have 8 male celebs and 7 female this year, after 4 seasons of female celebs outnumbering the males.

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It was earlier reported Katya Jones will not be getting a celeb partner this year as punishment for her indiscretion during last year’s series.

If correct, this will see both Luba Mushtuk and Nancy Xu have a first full run on this year’s show. Among the male pros hoping for celeb partners this year for the first time are Johannes Radebe and Neil Jones though an established male pro will have to miss out for either to get a run.

The recording of the pairings will take place on Friday August 30 according to this. Before then we have the usual guessing game of who might be paired with who. If we had a market, 2 which look long odds-on shots are:

Saffron Barker – AJ Pritchard
Anneka Rice – Anton Du Beke

Closely followed by:

Michelle Visage – Kevin Clifton

Emma Barton looks a solid height match with Aljaz Skorjanec as does James Cracknell with Nadiya Bychkova. Karen Clifton has been paired with tall male celebs in the past so it might be David James for her.

Among the smaller male celebs are Mike Bushell and Karim Zeroual so Janette Manrara and Oti Mabuse look the strongest candidates to be paired with them.

Assuming Luba and Nancy get a run out in this series, they are probably more likely to be given potential contenders rather than duds so Jamie Laing and DJ Dev Griffin might be in the mix for those 2. Chris Ramsay and Amy Dowden could work well, and Will Bayley paired with Dianne Buswell looks feasible.

After 2 consecutive finals Giovanni Pernice might find himself with a lesser light among this year’s female cast of celebs so possibly Viscountess Emma Weymouth for him. Alex Scott looks a good match with Gorka Marquez, while Catherine Tydlesley could find herself paired with Graziano Di Prima if he doesn’t find himself benched this year.

In other Strictly news, Oti Mabuse’s sister, Motsi, will replace Darcey Bussell as a new judge, and Rylan Clarke-Neal will be joining Zoe on BBC2 spin-off show ITT. There is also a show pencilled in for the week after the series opener when they reveal the pairings, and a week before the first live show, which will focus on the pro dancers.

Some key dates to keep in mind during this series:

Sat 7 Sept Launch show
Sat 21 Sept First live show
Sat 5 Oct Movies Week
Sat 26 Oct Hallowe’en Week
Sat 9 Nov Remembrance show
Sat 16 Nov Blackpool
Sat 30 Nov Musicals week
Sat 7 Dec Semi-finals
Sat 14 Dec THE 2019 FINAL!

Strictly will, as always, be the main focus this autumn but there should also be some betting opportunities that emerge for the 2 X Factor series promised – an All-Star X Factor and then a Champions version to follow.

Ben Stokes currently looks a worthy fav for SPOTY 2019 after his World Cup final heroics but there will no doubt be a few twists and turns yet in that market, and there is often a value top 3 prospect to emerge.

Subscribers can also look forward to some ‘I’m A Celebrity…’ analysis, and, whisper it, coverage of the big 2 beauty pageants. Miss World 2019 will be held in London this year on December 14 which will hopefully inspire more UK bookmakers to offer prices. As yet, nothing has been confirmed regarding where and when Miss Universe 2019 will be held, but December 19 in South Korea has been rumoured.

Going back to a first ever tv bet struck on Darren Gough to win Strictly at 25-1 back in 2005, the show has a special place in our hearts and the site has an excellent Strictly record over the years. While others were seduced by the YouTube following and social media noise of Joe Sugg, we held firm in the belief Stacey Dooley would win last year’s final with Kevin Clifton:

TV betting events still offer the best value betting opportunities around, and are also enormous fun to get involved in financially. The site is currently showing a profit of +544 points to a 1pt level stake since the start of 2014. Grab a piece of the action and arm yourself with some expert analysis by signing up today.